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The Administration’s plan for financial regulatory reform would grant the Federal Reserve significant new powers—more powers than ever before in American history. The Federal Reserve would have the ...
The ongoing financial crisis has given a new urgency to this question. Government officials are now proposing legislation to expand significantly the role of government in the financial sector and b...
The more restrictive the definition and the more credibly it is adhered to by policy makers, the fewer bailouts we would see. Recognizing that bailouts are unavailable except in the most unlikely c...
The confluence of three trends in the U.S. residential housing market-rising home prices, declining interest rates, and near-frictionless refinancing opportunities-led to vastly increased systemic ris...
In the aftermath of the recent financial crisis, the federal government has pursued significant regulatory reforms, including proposals to measure and monitor systemic risk. However, there is much deb...
This paper is dedicated to the consistency of systemic risk mea-sures with respect to stochastic dependence. It compares two alter-native notions of Conditional Value-at-Risk (CoVaR) available in the ...
We consider a system of diffusion processes that interact through their empirical mean and have a stabilizing force acting on each of them, corresponding to a bistable potential. There are three param...
This article discusses the contribution of fiscal and monetary policy to the accumulation of excessive debt and its inherent risk. According to economists Carmen Reinhart and Ken Rogoff, excessive deb...
We introduce a general framework for models of cascade and contagion processes on networks, to identify their commonalities and differences. In particular, models of social and financial cascades, as ...
The dynamic network of relationships among corporations underlies cascading economic failures including the current economic crisis, and can be inferred from correlations in market value fluctuations....

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