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Using subjective income expectations to test for excess sensitivity of consumption to predicted income growth
Subjective expectations Precautionary saving
2015/7/23
We test for precautionary saving and excess sensitivity of consumption to predicted
income growth using a 1989}1993 panel survey of Italian households that has measures
of subjective income and in#a...
Individual Experience of Positive and Negative Growth Is Asymmetric:Global Evidence from Subjective Well-being Data
Economic Growth Business Cycles Subjective Well-Being Loss Aversion Business Cycles
2015/4/28
Are individuals more sensitive to losses than gains in macroeconomic growth? Using subjective well-being measures across three large data sets, we observe an asymmetry in the way positive and negative...
Expected Uncertain Utility and Subjective Sources
Expected Uncertain Utility Subjective Sources
2014/3/18
Source preference is the assertion that between two prospects yielding the same dis-
tribution of monetary rewards, decision makers may have a strict preference for one over
the other. Evidence on t...
A Subjective and Probabilistic Approach to Derivatives
Subjective Probabilistic Approach Derivatives
2010/10/18
We propose a probabilistic framework for pricing derivatives, which acknowledges that information and beliefs are subjective. Market prices can be translated into implied probabilities. In particular,...
This paper investigates whether subjective expectations about future mortality affect consumption and bequests motives. We estimate a dynamic life-cycle model based on subjective survival rates and we...