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Quantifying Limits to Detection of Early Warning for Critical Transitions
early warning signals tipping point alternative stable states likelihood methods
2012/5/2
Catastrophic regime shifts in complex natural systems may be averted through advanced detection. Recent work has provided a proof-of-principle that many systems approaching a catastrophic transition m...
Early warning signals for critical transitions: A generalized modeling approach
critical transitions Populations and Evolution Dynamical Systems
2011/10/9
Critical transitions are sudden, often irreversible, changes that can occur in a large variety of complex systems. Signals that warn of critical transitions are highly desirable, but their constructio...