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This paper analyzes the role of private information in U.S. Forest Service timber auctions. In these auctions, firms bid a per unit price for each timber species. Total bids are computed by mu...
This paper considers self-enforcing trade agreements among privately informed governments.A trade agreement that uses weak bindings (i.e., maximal tari§ levels) is shown to o§er advantages relative to...
Using a simple empirical strategy, we decode the information in insider trading. Exploiting the fact that insiders trade for a variety of reasons, we show that there is predictable, identifiable "rout...
Decisions about how much to diversify an R&D portfolio and the specific areas in which to pursue projects are fundamental to a firm’s R&D strategy. There is some evidence that larger firms diversify t...
Massive higher education expansion in the world’s four largest developing economies— Brazil, Russia, India, and China, known as the BRIC countries—is having a significant impact on the world supply of...
We analyze a rational-expectations model of price formation in an intermediate-good market under uncertainty. There is a continuum of firms, each consisting of a party who can reduce production cost a...
The numeraire portfolio in a financial market is the unique positive wealth process that makes all other nonnegative wealth processes, when deflated by it, supermartingales. The numeraire portfolio de...
Financial markets, with their vast range of different investment opportunities, can be seen as a system of many different simultaneous games with diverse and often unknown levels of risk and reward. W...
We investigate the information cost of stock trading during the 2000 presidential election. We find that the uncertainty of the election induces information asymmetry of politically sensitive firms un...
International Financial Services Information Center has been designed to assist professionals interested in conducting business through the British Virgin Islands. Included are introductory articles o...
May 14, 2007,In late February, Yale Law School acquired seven Bloomberg terminals, a cutting-edge news and information platform offered by Bloomberg L.P. that enables subscribers to monitor financial ...
An entire society is busy shifting into a new technical domain. The Internet has become the heart of information processing and telecommunications in business and at home. In this paper, I explore the...
This paper compares several time series methods for short-run forecasting of Euro-wide in2ation and real activity using data from 1982 to 1997. Forecasts are constructed from univariate autoregression...

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