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Estimates of Age-Specific Reductions in HIV Prevalence in Uganda: Bayesian Melding Estimation and Probabilistic Population Forecast with an HIV-enabled Cohort Component Projection Model
Africa AIDS/HIV Bayesian melding Cohort Component Model of Population Projection estimation forecast IMIS incidence prevalence Tanzania Uganda
2014/11/21
Background: Much of our knowledge of the epidemiology and demography of HIV epidemics in Africa is derived from models fit to sparse, non-representative data. These often average over age and other im...
Point and interval forecasts of mortality rates and life expectancy: A comparison of ten principal component methods
mortality rates life expectancy Point
2014/11/20
Using the age- and sex-specific data of 14 developed countries, we compare the point
and interval forecast accuracy and bias of ten principal component methods for forecasting mortality rates a...
More on the cohort-component model of population projection in the context of HIV/AIDS: A Leslie matrix representation and new estimates
population projection matrix representation
2014/11/20
This article presents an extension of the cohort-component model of population projection
(CCMPP) first formulated by Heuveline (2003) that is capable of modeling a population
affected by HIV....
The Strategies, Experiences and Future Challenges of the Information Component in the Indonesian Family Planning Programme
Family Planning Programme Indonesian
2009/4/24
This article traces the history of the family planning programme in Indonesia from the time when it was seen as part of the Government’s efforts to improve maternal and child health care services to t...
An international comparative study on the use of the Cohort Component Method for estimating national populations
An international comparative study the Cohort Component Method national populations
2010/1/20
This comparative study explores the use of the Cohort Component Method to produce national level population estimates. This method is used annually to calculate mid-year population estimates for Engla...